Conventional wisdom holds that trying to impeach the president could cost House Democrats in battleground races, but there’s a sense in the party that it could improve their chances in the Senate
Democrats insist that their march toward impeaching President Donald Trump is simply about doing the right thing. But a growing number of them see a real political upside, too: It might help them win back the Senate.
Democrats need to net at least three seats to win back the Senate, provided they also win back the presidency. And they have several opportunities to do so, but it will mean winning at least some races in states Trump carried in 2016.
“To me it’s not a hard vote. The facts lead you where they lead. What I’ve seen to this point makes me wonder if it’s going to be anything other than a political exercise,” Tillis said. “Having the Democrats on record for a frivolous activity on an impeachment vote may be a hard vote for them.”show an uptick in support for an impeachment inquiry amid the Ukraine firestorm, but how that will translate to the politics of an impeachment trial in the Senate won’t be clear for months.
Democrats recognize they need to be cautious in how they talk about trying to oust the president: It does them no good to be seen as pursuing impeachment for political gain. Sen. Ben Cardin said impeachment “should not be a political consideration at all,” while Sen. Kamala Harris , a presidential contender, said, “This is a time to put country over party, and I hope that people have the courage to do that.
As they prepared to head home and regroup for a two-week recess, Republicans tried several different approaches to ease the pressure.Gardner called for a search for the facts while Collins insisted that she can’t comment on daily events when she may serve as a juror in a conviction trial. Tillis and McSally moved to quickly dismiss questions of impeachment, with McSally predicting it would backfire on Democrats.
When asked about the politics of the situation, most Republicans will say it’s an overreach by Pelosi that will backfire on Democrats. Sen. Lindsey Graham , who was a leading advocate for impeaching former President Bill Clinton, said, “We all thought we were right and the public thought we were a little crazy.”
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