The Wagner leader appeared down but not out in the months after his mutiny, but his fate may have been sealed from the start
“Putin was taking his time to assess the damage,” said Andrei Soldatov, a Russian journalist and expert on the security services. “He decided to use this mutiny as a pretext to deal with the hardliners.”
The Russian military had ample motive to kill Prigozhin. His soldiers shot down several helicopters and aircraft during the armed uprising, killing an estimated 15 airmen. And Wagner’s disputes with the military over ammunition had grown into low-level warfare. Rather than a quiet killing, he said, the Kremlin had clearly shown that it wanted to send a message.
“This killing lowers the morale among those most passionate about the fighting,” Gelman said. He cited anger from prominent war hawks such as the nationalist writer Zakhar Prilepin. “They are in a state of shock. They are the children of war, the ones driving it. It will be harder for Putin to mobilise these groups now.”
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