Senior commanders fear the US President-elect's national security team will turn the global world order on its head.
as his selection for Secretary of Defence, current and former senior military commanders began messaging and calling me with their reactions.
The 2024 US election - unlike previous ones with differences at the margins - may prove to have an enormous impact not just on US foreign policy but on America's role in the world. With this view of America's relationships with allies and adversaries, Trump seems to believe that as president he will be just as able to make mutually beneficial agreements for the US with, say, Russia or China, as with US allies in Europe and Asia – that is, with nations that have fought alongside the US and signed mutual defense treaties.
They told me Taiwan should be similarly concerned. While Biden vowed publicly multiple times to defend Taiwan militarily against a Chinese invasion – ending a decades-old US policy of strategic ambiguity toward the self-governing island – none of Trump's former senior advisers told me they believe Trump would do the same.
During his first term, Trump suspended large-scale military exercises with South Korea as a gesture to North Korea's Kim Jong Un, war games that Seoul views as crucial to its military readiness. In October, Trump put a price tag on the continued US deployment on the Korean peninsula: $US10 billion.
However, Americans would have to be willing to make accommodations to the ambitions of the world's new and increasingly powerful alliance of autocrats. That would come with costs. NATO members face having to increase their defence budgets under the incoming Trump administration. What used to be the bipartisan approach has proven far from perfect. The US and its allies have not figured out how to win in Ukraine and likely have quietly pushed for some territorial concessions to end the war and pulled back from a commitment for Ukraine to join NATO
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