Record pig prices could have spurred farmers like Carole Joliff to expand their herd, but costly livestock regulations, flagging demand and spreading swine disease point instead to a long-term decline in the European Union, the world's top pork exporter.
German agricultural research institute EuroCARE and Hungarian counterpart AKI, in a study for EU farming group Copa-Cogeca, estimate that ending sow stalls swiftly by 2025 would cut pork production by nearly a quarter and raise prices by almost half, compared with 8% and 11% variations, respectively, in a longer transition to 2035.
The German industry has also been under pressure to improve working practices and is faced with a steep decline in meat-eating, with per capita pork consumption falling by a quarter between 1997 and 2022, according to state food agency BLE. The effects are being felt down the pork production chain. Danish Crown announced in April the closure of a major slaughterhouse due to overcapacity, while several German meatpacking plants plan to close or cut capacity.
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