Analysis: The confidence Republicans gained in America’s political decisions after 2016 collapsed post-2018
President Trump on the South Lawn of the White House on Monday. By Philip Bump Philip Bump National correspondent focused largely on the numbers behind politics Email Bio Follow April 11 at 2:26 PM Between 2007 and 2015, the United States’ political self-confidence took a hit. In January 2007, polling data from the Pew Research Center shows, more than half the country expressed a good deal of confidence in the wisdom of the American people when it came to making political decisions.
That decline occurred among both Democrats and Republicans. For whatever reason, over that eight-year period, Americans were suddenly a lot more skeptical of what Americans were doing in their elections. In March 2016, only about a third of both Republicans and Democrats had at least a good deal of confidence in the American public’s political wisdom. By March 2018, though, Republican confidence in that wisdom soared. More than half of Republicans one year ago said they had at least a good deal of confidence in the nation’s political wisdom.
Over the course of 2018, Trump promised that this Republican trend would continue, dismissing the idea of a building “blue wave” in the upcoming midterm election and instead promising a “red wave,” another unexpected Republican rout. The wave that arrived last November, though, was distinctly blue. And in Pew’s polling in March, Republican confidence in the electorate suddenly dropped back down.
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