National security concerns are among the biggest long-term risks to a stable bilateral relationship
– but can it last?nthony Albanese’s trip to China – the first by an Australian prime minister since Malcolm Turnbull’s in 2016 – has become a symbol of his effort to stabilise Australia’s relationship with China. In the lead-up to the trip, we saw progress on many of the frictions left over from the Morrison years.
Australia is unlikely to convince the Chinese leadership to place less importance on national security or to tone down anti-espionage efforts. Of course, the Chinese government may moderate its approach to national security due to domestic considerations. For example, if economic growth slows down significantly as a result and causes widespread social discontent.
Individuals with close connections to both Australia and China, such as Chinese Australians with families in China and Australian businesspeople in China, have borne the brunt of this securitisation trends in both countries. After all, they are the ones being harassed, either by nationalists and self-appointed national security vigilantes or by government officials, simply because of the deteriorating relations. This makes them less willing to continue to be the bridge between the two countries.
The Australian government and private companies in Australia should support the establishment of an institutionalised private diplomatic initiative similar to one we have with the US, the Australian American Leadership Dialogue. If we can have a private diplomatic initiative with one great power, there is no reason why we cannot have one with the other as well.
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