The shifting nature of the war in Ukraine has prompted a split among analysts and U.S. lawmakers. Some question whether American officials have portrayed the crisis in overly rosy terms while others say Ukraine can win with more help from the West.
Coffins are carried to a cemetery during a mass funeral for Ukrainian service members in Dnipro. The shifting nature of the war in Ukraine has prompted a split among analysts and U.S. lawmakers, with some questioning whether American officials have portrayed the crisis in overly rosy terms while others say the government in Kyiv can win with more help from the West.The growing conjecture comes more than four months after Russia’s invasion and its failure to seize the capital.
The scrutiny is fueled by U.S. government assessments of other wars, notably in Afghanistan, where officials habitually glossed over widespread dysfunction and corruption and sidestepped questions of whether battlefield successes were not only achievable but sustainable. Successive administrations insisted Afghan forces were “in the lead” even as their performance was often deeply flawed and their survival depended on U.S. logistical support and air power.
Kori Schake, director of foreign and defense policy studies at the conservative American Enterprise Institute, said that with Ukraine as opposed to Afghanistan, the Pentagon lacks the incentive to “perennially” say the military that it is supporting is turning a corner. There are no known American troops involved in the conflict, limiting the government’s interest in making such pronouncements, she said.
in particular, could soon outpace supply. “We need a lot of this for yesterday, not even tomorrow,” he said. “We are losing the most valuable thing, our soldiers and officers. That is why we need heavy weapons faster, and as much as possible.”Others more wary of U.S. involvement in Ukraine see Washington’s assessments as incomplete for different reasons.
While U.S. support for Ukraine has engendered a degree of bipartisanship seldom seen in Washington, Republicans still see challenges for the administration. Rep. Peter Meijer said the fighting now has a well-defined line of conflict, with territory changing hands slowly. It can be difficult, he said, to understand the nuance of what is coming next as a result. “I think that’s the fundamental challenge, is we don’t really know,” he said. “But we know it probably is not going to be quick.
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