ASX 200: Investors on watch for Reserve Bank shift in language

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ASX 200: Investors on watch for Reserve Bank shift in language
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Futures indicate the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index is poised to rise 0.3 per cent at the start of trade on Monday, before the RBA’s May rates decider.

Already a subscriber?Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock faces the prospect of upgrading the RBA’s inflation forecasts as market economists clamour for evidence from Tuesday’s policy statement that Australia’s cash rate could rise in 2024 in a retooled fight against inflation.

Futures indicate the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index is poised to rise 0.3 per cent, or by 22 points, at the start of trade on Monday.reinforced a tilt towards monetary easing from the US Federal Reserve, despite the disappointing progress being made on inflation. He expects the RBA to keep the cash rate unchanged at 4.35 per cent on Tuesday, and is counting on a new rhetoric from the central bank’s communications in the statement or in Ms Bullock’s press conference.

Mr Hogan forecasts the RBA to raise the cash rate in August or September, and in November. He expects the first rate cut this cycle to arrive in July 2025.

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