ASX set to rise, Wall Street rallies on election day as economy remains solid

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ASX set to rise, Wall Street rallies on election day as economy remains solid
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US stocks bounce as voters head for the polls as data piles up showing the economy remains solid.

US stocks are rallying as voters head to the polls on the last day of the presidential election and as more data piles up showing the economy remains solid.

Excitement about the artificial-intelligence boom also helped lift the stock market, as it has for much of the last year. Software company Palantir Technologies jumped 23 per cent after delivering bigger profit and revenue than analysts expected for the latest quarter. It’s an industry known for thinking and talking big, and CEO Alexander Karp said, “We absolutely eviscerated this quarter, driven by unrelenting AI demand that won’t slow down.

The US stock market has tended to rise more in magnitude when Democrats have been president, in part because a loss under George W. Bush’s term hurt the Republican’s average. Bush took over as the dot-com bubble was deflating and exited office when the 2008 global financial crisis and Great Recession were devastating markets.

As for a contested election, Wall Street has some precedent to look back to. In 2000, the S&P 500 dropped 5 per cent in about five weeks after Election Day before Al Gore conceded to George W. Bush. That, though, also happened during the near-halving of the S&P 500 from March 2000 to October 2002 as the dot-com bubble deflated.

Investors have already made moves in anticipation of a win by either Trump or Vice President Kamala Harris. The value of the Mexican peso might fall if Trump’s tariffs on Mexico come to fruition, for example.

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