Day 2 of the 2023 Australian Open will likely look plenty different from Day 1 for one reason: The weather.
It’s always pretty simple when it comes to handicapping John Isner matches. By this point in the American’s career, we know what to expect every time he steps on the court. We’ll see plenty of quick games and tiebreaks as Isner dominates on his serve and struggles when his opponent has the ball.
Isner’s ability to win quick points with his services may make the weather less of a factor, but this match is being played in the middle of the afternoon in Melbourne and it’s fair to question where Isner’s fitness is at right now. Not only is the Georgia native 37 years old, but he’s also coming off an injury and has been limited to just three matches since the US Open last September.
The veteran Frenchman has a strong serve and does great work on quick, hard surfaces so there’s every reason to believe that Mannarino can answer every question that Isner poses on Monday. A lot of matches featuring Isner tend to be close and get decided by who can hold their nerves in tie-breakers, but Mannarino should be able to nip a couple of breaks by relying on his movement and Isner’s rust. That is all it would take to get the edge on Isner, who doesn’t really represent a threat to Mannarino when he’s on serve.
It seems pretty obvious that the betting market is respecting John Isner’s gargantuan serve a bit too much here. If Mannarino is able to extend Isners’ service points just a little bit here and there, the conditions and the American’s lack of fitness should prove to be a vital difference.
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