Bank of Japan speculation leads to new wagers on policy changes

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Bank of Japan speculation leads to new wagers on policy changes
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The BOJ will consider adjusting bond purchases or other policy changes as early as next week, according to a newspaper report.

Traders piled into bets on another hawkish pivot from the Bank of Japan, following a report that the central bank will review the side effects of its policy as soon as next week.

Japan’s currency has surged about 17 per cent from a low set in October amid government intervention, a winding back of bets on Fed interest-rate hikes, and speculation over hawkish BOJ policy shifts.and Federal Reserve commentary that weighed on expectations for how much the US central bank might ultimately increase its policy rate.

“We now expect the Bank of Japan to widen the yield-curve control range by [0.5 per cent] in March,” BNP Paribas strategists, including Ryutaro Kono in Tokyo, wrote in a research note. There is “risk of an action as early as the January meeting”, they said.Investors around the world are ramping up bets that the BOJ will be compelled to exit its ultra-dovish settings after it has doggedly clung to the policy even as its major counterparts have tightened.

The BOJ’s decision to double its allowed ceiling for the 10-year yield to 0.5 per cent in December wasn’t the beginning of an exit of monetary easing, but a way to make it more sustainable, Mr Kuroda said last month.

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