After making no tangible progress on a range of issues, and with worsening tensions around Taiwan, both sides are pinning hopes for progress on a future in-person meeting.
In Washington’s China policy community there isthat Pelosi’s proposed trip is a gratuitously inflammatory gesture that will only worsen the U.S.-China relationship.
“Her presence in Taipei would not make any points that the United States has not made recently and repeatedly… and is distracting both sides from efforts to frame and stabilize their dangerous relations,” said Robert Daly, director of the Kissinger Institute on China and the United States at the Wilson Center.
But hopes for a breakthrough at an in-person Biden-Xi meeting may be misplaced. The timing of the proposed meeting — after the autumn’s 20th Communist Party Congress, where Xi is widely expected to emerge with anas a paramount leader — suggests that his motivations for meeting Biden may be more tactical than strategic.
“He wants Biden to meet him, and basically that will be a public announcement that, ‘hey, look, my legitimacy and my leadership has been recognized by the U.S. president,’” said Yun Sun, China program director at the Stimson Center, a Washington-based think tank. “I actually don’t believe that the Chinese are going to change their approach to issues that are contentious.
The Biden-Xi call touched on other issues in only the most general terms. Xi underscored the need for bilateral coordination on macroeconomic policies to keep global supply chains stable and to maintain food and energy security. Xi and Biden committed to unspecified follow-up on the issues of climate change and health security but didn’t outline timelines or objectives.
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