‘Big rally, big collapse’: Bofa’s Hartnett

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‘Big rally, big collapse’: Bofa’s Hartnett
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Bank of America's Michael Hartnett isn't ready to pivot

P 500, followed by a 300-point drop by September 4.

The two key money moves, as per Bank of America’s latest weekly flow data: $US22.3 billion into stocks, and $US37.9 billion out of cash.Driven by enthusiasm over artificial intelligence, $US19 billion has flowed into tech stocks the past eight weeks. Mr Hartnett said that’s the “strongest momentum” for the sector since March 2021. Both Apple and Microsoft this week reset their respective record highs.

First, there was neither a first-quarter earnings recession nor a first half economic one as nominal GDP “remained supercharged” by US government spending, the Russia-Ukraine war and a US labour market “impervious” to rising interest rates. For now, bulls are in control and that’s likely to continue, Mr Hartnett said, until Fed policymakers reintroduce “fear” by signalling that rates won’t peak until they reach 6 per cent in order “to crack embedded inflation”.

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