Sydney and most of NSW can expect a wetter and milder spring with a much-reduced bushfire risk but also an elevated threat of flooding, forecasters say | p_hannam
In stark contrast to the past three winters, the state received about 2 per cent more rainfall than the average for the June-August period, or the most since 2016. Maximum temperatures were above the norm along the coast but closer to average inland.
Such years also elevate the likelihood of more tropical lows and cyclones forming in northern Australia, Dr Watkins said. The first coast-crossing cyclone is about three weeks earlier than in a usual year, raising the possibility of flooding well to the south, such as during 2010-12. In August, Nowra endured its biggest flood in almost three decades. Rainfall across NSW in the first eight months of 2020 was 432 millimetres, or 15 per cent more than the long-run average.According to the Australian Seasonal Bushfire Outlook released by the Bushfire and Natural Hazards Co-operative Research Centre on Monday, the forecast fire risk for NSW is rated as "normal" for the coming season.
"Increased grass growth due to recent rain could prove problematic over coming weeks and months, particularly in these areas starting their danger period,” Commissioner Rob Rogers said.
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