Brace Yourself for 2024’s Two-Incumbent Election

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Brace Yourself for 2024’s Two-Incumbent Election
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Much has changed since 2020, and we haven’t had a presidential rematch in 130 years. A Trump-Biden sequel would truly be unprecedented.

and all the partisan controversies that have accompanied this latest phase of divided U.S. government.

This sword has two edges: An incumbent’s presidential record can be attacked. Some voters may like it. Some may not. But at the lizard-brain level, they have all seen him sitting at the big desk in the Oval. They know what he looks like as president. So in a Biden-Trump rematch, both candidates will have already passed the plausible-president threshold, and both have a recent presidential record to defend. As Last points out, this hasn’t happened since 1892, when former presidentfaced incumbent president Benjamin Harrison, who had narrowly defeated Cleveland four years earlier. Then as now, the rematches came in an extended period of closely contested presidential elections. Then as now, the electorate knew both candidates very well.

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