With President Jair Bolsonaro and his leftist rival Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva tied in some polls, analysts look to Brazil’s vast Minas Gerais state for early signs of a winner
Sunday in what political scientists see as the country’s most consequential election in decades—a choice between President Jair Bolsonaro and his leftist rival, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, that will have widespread implications for Latin America’s biggest economy andMr.
da Silva, the standard-bearer for the Latin America left, and Brazil’s conservative incumbent are statistically tied in some recent polls. In May, Mr. da Silva had a lead of more than 20 percentage points over Mr. Bolsonaro, but is currently ahead by less than 1 percentage point, according to a recent poll. That is within the margin of error and a technical tie.