There is 98% likelihood that at least one of the next five years will be the warmest.
The global-mean surface air temperature was more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels in early June, which is a first for a summer month, said the EU-fundedThe World Meteorological Organization published a report in May 2023 which said that the global temperatures are set to reach new records in the next five years. It categorically said that there is a 66% likelihood that the annual average near-surface global temperature between 2023 and 2027 will be over 1.
The report further said that there is a 98% likelihood that at least one of the next five years, and the five-year period as a whole, will be the warmest on record.C3S is of the view that as the current El Niño develops, there is reason to expect that global-mean air temperature will again exceed by more than 1.5⁰C in the next twelve months.This isn’t the first time that global temperatures higher than 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels have been recorded. The 1.
“Every single fraction of a degree matters to avoid even more severe consequences of the climate crisis,” added Burgess. As the incidents of global-mean temperature continue to take place more frequently than the 1.5⁰C limit, the repercussions of these excesses will become more serious and challenging.
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