AT LEAST SIX MONTHS AWAY: With Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu scheduled to visit Washington tomorrow, the Biden administration is gearing up efforts to incentivize the recalcitrant NATO ally to drop its objections to Finland and Sweden joining NATO.
Hungary has indicated its Parliament will approve the accession of the two Nordic countries next month, leaving Turkey as the last holdout, as approval requires all 30 NATO members to agree. Turkey complains that the newest NATO aspirants have yet to meet Ankara’s demands to crack down on supporters of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party, or PKK, and a group it has labeled a terrorist organization and blames for a 2016 coup attempt.
CONGRESSIONAL OPPOSITION: Congress can block the sale and is likely to do so, especially if Turkey does not release its hold on Finland’s and Sweden’s NATO membership bids. But President Joe Biden could sidestep Congress with a veto, which would require a two-thirds majority in both chambers to override.
ALSO TODAY: At 2 p.m., Secretary of State Antony Blinken meets with British Foreign Secretary James Cleverly at the State Department, followed by a joint press conference at 3:20 p.m. Livestreamed on www.state.gov and www.YouTube.com/statedept. MILLEY REVIEWS TRAINING: Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Gen. Mark Milley made a stop at the U.S. training facility in Grafenwoehr, Germany, yesterday, ahead of tomorrow’s meeting of military chiefs at NATO Headquarters.
Lambrecht’s resignation comes as Germany is under pressure to grant permission to Poland and other European nations to send some of their German-made Leopard 2 heavy tanks to Ukraine — and perhaps to send some of their own as well. “I think the problem right now is Ukraine is kind of trapped in the Russian method of warfare, this stalemate where you're grinding, using infantry and artillery, and it's just a grinding piece of warfare,” Esper said in an appearance on CNN Monday morning.
The ISW analysis noted the Russian Defense Ministry is seeking to raise the age of conscription, expand the size of the military from 1.3 million to 2 million, and form new military divisions. Washington Examiner: McCarthy: Removing Schiff and Swalwell from committee is 'what we're supposed to do'Politico: Pentagon Mulls Back Pay For Troops Kicked Out Over Covid Vaccine Mandate19fortyfive.com: Putin's Biggest Fear: The Ukraine War Could Start a Civil War in RussiaWashington Post: Ukraine liberated Kherson city. Now, Russia is destroying it.
9:30 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies discussion: “Key foreign policy priorities for the United Kingdom,” with U.K. Foreign Secretary James Cleverly https://www.csis.org/events/conversation-uk-foreign-secretary-james-cleverly 4 p.m. 3800 Reservoir Rd. NW — Atlantic Council discussion:"Russia's ongoing war in Ukraine, the future of the transatlantic alliance and how to maintain unity in the face of mounting global challenges,” with Netherlands Prime Minister Mark Rutte https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/event/a-conversation-with-mark-rutte/
11 a.m. 1300 Pennsylvania Ave. NW— Wilson Center Kennan Institute for Advanced Russian Studies book discussion: Hybrid Warriors: Proxies, Freelancers and Moscow's Struggle for Ukraine, with author Anna Arutunyan, global fellow at the Wilson Center https://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/book-talk-hybrid-warriors
10 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion on a new report:"North Korea Policy and Extended Deterrence," with retired Army Gen. Vincent Brooks, former U.S. Forces Korea commander, chairman of the Korea Defense Veterans Association, and member of the CSIS Commission on the Korean Peninsula https://www.csis.org/events/csis-commission-report-north-korea
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