'Cases are increasing, deaths will follow': Summer of fun over for Europe

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'Cases are increasing, deaths will follow': Summer of fun over for Europe
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Britain's top health advisers warn the number of new infections might hit 50,000 a day, twice the number Australia has recorded for the entire year | bevanshields

Europe's summer of suspended reality is drawing to its inevitable close. After four months of basking in sunshine and indulging in overseas holidays, a long-feared second wave is here to spoil the fun.

For the time being, the growth has not been accompanied by a major spike in deaths. The cumulative death rate for the past fortnight in Spain is 2.4 per 100,000 people, compared to its peak of 23.7 in April. France's current rate of 0.9 deaths per 100,000 compares to 20.6 earlier this year. Hospitals in Paris are set to postpone 20 per cent of surgeries from this weekend, as COVID-19 patients now account for 20 per cent of all patients in intensive care.

The biggest change for Europe's second wave is that national lockdowns are now about as popular as the virus itself. Johnson says he reserves the right to go further than some of the minor tweaks he made to social-distancing rules this week, but a fresh lockdown seems a political impossibility.

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