The recent surge in COVID-19 cases due to the Delta variant appears to be peaking and will likely decline now through the spring, researchers say.
“Any of us who have been following this closely, given what happened with Delta, are going to be really cautious about too much optimism,” Justin Lessler, PhD, an epidemiologist at the University of North Carolina who helps run the hub, told NPR.The forecast combines nine mathematical models from research groups across the country to project what may happen in the next 6 months.
Still, “we have to be cautious because the virus has shown us time and time again that new variants, or people loosening up on how careful they’re being, can lead to things to come roaring back,” he said. tend to peak in January, according to NPR. In the meantime, ongoing COVID-19 precautions could ensure that the most optimistic forecast comes true. Increasing the vaccination rates and practicing good hygiene will help the case numbers drop in coming months.
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