Death of President Ebrahim Raisi will test the unity of Iran’s hardline factions

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Death of President Ebrahim Raisi will test the unity of Iran’s hardline factions
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An emergency presidential election next month could drive the tense political rivalry among loyalists of the theocratic system to a new level.

, the Iranian president was considered a shoo-in for a second term, with elections due to be held next spring.

Potential candidates are likely to include Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, the hardline speaker of parliament who is considered close to the elite Revolutionary Guards. During three unsuccessful presidential campaigns, he has sought to portray himself as a hands-on politician who gets things done, citing his experience as a former police chief and mayor of Tehran.Another who could throw his hat into the ring is Ali Larijani, a hardliner from a prominent clerical family and a former nuclear negotiator.

Others, however, believed Mr Raisi quietly sided with more hardline elements, as well as an emerging generation of ideologues who have challenged old-school conservatives. These so-called super-revolutionaries came to the fore at this year’s elections for parliament and the Assembly of Experts, the body that will choose the next supreme leader.

We should not be surprised if the next president will be a military figure or has a military background.Some hardliners, however, felt the government was too soft, and in recent weeks there have been fresh crackdowns against those not covering their heads with the veil.The Revolutionary Guards, whose dominance over state affairs increased after Mr Raisi took the presidency, will influence the political debate within the hardliners’ camp.

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