Democrats' chances of beating Trump-backed candidates in Arizona: Polls

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Democrats' chances of beating Trump-backed candidates in Arizona: Polls
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Republicans Kari Lake and Blake Masters have embraced Trump's 2020 election claims, but recent polling suggests that strategy isn't paying off.

Recent polling data shows Lake and Masters trailing their opponents, suggesting Trump's influence with Arizona voters has waned since he carried the state in 2016 with a 3.6 percentage-point margin.Survey data released by Fox News on Thursday showed Hobbs ahead of Lake by 3 points. The Democrat had the backing of 47 percent of Arizona's registered voters compared to 44 percent who preferred her Republican opponent.

A July poll conducted by Beacon Research for the Environmental Voter Project had Hobbs with a lead of 5 points. That survey had Hobbs at 43 percent among registered voters and Lake at 38 percent. The poll included 802 registered voters. The current average of Arizona polls by news and polling analysis site FiveThirtyEight, which was last updated on Thursday, shows Lake trailing Hobbs as well. Lake has the backing of about 43.8 percent of Arizonans and Hobbs has the support of 47.5 percent.poll showed Masters well behind Kelly by an 8-point margin. Half of Arizona's registered voters threw their support behind Kelly compared to only 42 percent who backed Masters.

A survey carried out from August 1 to August 8 by Center Street PAC, which supports Kelly's campaign, showed the Democrat in the lead by a double-digit margin. That poll put Kelly at 50 percent and Masters at just 34 percent among 877 registered voters. FiveThirtyEight's current average puts Kelly ahead by about 8.3 points. The average shows Kelly backed by 50.3 percent of Arizonans and Masters supported by only 42 percent.

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