MLB predictions, picks, and odds for Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies on October 16. MLB National League Championship Series 2023 free pick and best bets.
The Phillies and D-backs enter the NLCS having vanquished the two best regular season teams. Our betting picks are zeroing in on a couple of factors at play: Philly's success at home and Arizona starter Zac Gallen's struggles on the road.What a matchup we have lined up. The Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies will meet tonight in Game 1 of the NLCS, with the series winner going to the Fall Classic.
If you've watched the postseason, you've seen the impact Philly fans have made. There's not much to say about it that's quantifiable, but if you've watched, you know. It's a big reason why the Phillies are undefeated in the postseason games at Citizens Bank Park. They repeatedly got under the skin of Braves superstar Ronald Acuna Jr., for one.
On the other side is where I have some real concerns. It comes back to playing on the road, and the data backs it up. This season, the story with Arizona starterhas been his home and road splits. Gallen's ERA is an impressive 2.47 at home with a 1.03 WHIP. On the road, his ERA jumps to 4.42, and his WHIP also rises significantly.
The last part is the Phillies leading after three innings, primarily because of what they've done at home. Philadelphia has scored in the first three innings of its home games this postseason all but once, and the time it didn't, it stuck one inning later. This also plays directly into the hands of the Gallen's road struggle.Our best bet is the Phillies moneyline.
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