The 2020 Democratic field is eagerly awaiting the next round of DNC debate criteria, which could shrink participation again in November
As Democratic presidential candidates barrel into the fall, they are still waiting for the party to write the rules for the most important events of the campaign.
“My only complaint with the DNC’s process is that they haven’t announced what the heck is going on for the November debates yet,” Democratic candidate Andrew Yang told POLITICO, asking whether any reporters knew what the new thresholds would be. The next thresholds will shrink the field — but the exact polling and donor criteria for the last debates of 2019 could be the difference between a still-crowded stage and one restricted to just a handful of front-runners. In interviews, DNC Chairman Tom Perez has said that they will “obviously” raise the bar to participate in the debates at the end of the year, because candidates “have to make progress.
“For the candidates at 1 or 2 percent, It is hard to see how they could double that. Not impossible, but tough,” said Peter Brown, a former polling analyst for Quinnipiac University. “If [the threshold goes up], there’s a couple of candidates that will be on the fence.” It’s also possible the new donor threshold could trip up a candidate or two — though no candidate who hit the polling mark for the September and October debates failed to hit the donor mark.
“It seems like it is not criteria that is measuring the effectiveness of a future president,” said Jan Bauer, a DNC member from Iowa who supports Montana Gov. Steve Bullock. “The DNC is usurping our roles … That’s been Iowa’s role in the past, and that’s been the beauty of the caucuses. Everyone is given a fair chance.”
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