Every single general election in Alberta has produced a big majority for the winning party. A close election could bring down Danielle Smith
But UCP support appears to be stuck in neutral. On May 29 that could result in something entirely unique for Alberta — a government without a comfortable working majority.
No other province has a political history remotely like this. The very idea of a left-wing opposition party on roughly equal terms is anathema to conservatives. It challenges a core belief in Alberta exceptionalism. That fierce sentiment drove Wildrose and the PCs to unite and defeat the NDP in 2019.Article content
The result could be a legislature on the edge of deadlock. Forty-four seats are a majority, but that’s impractical because MLAs have to choose a speaker. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau clings to power with help from the federal NDP. In Alberta, it’s unthinkable that a UCP government could poach a few NDP MLAs — or that Notley, as premier, would even think of trying the reverse.Article contentSmith has done a good job of uniting her caucus. Take Back Alberta, the powerful pro-UCP, anti-Ottawa PAC, is the main cheerleader for her leadership — at least until the election.
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