Since 2010, there have been four U.S. landfalling hurricanes in October, including one in each of the past three years. That is actually higher than the total amount of landfalling hurricanes in both August and September, which both have had three since 2010.
If the amount of September hurricane landfalls can’t surpass October this year, this would be the first decade since hurricane records began where October landfalls total more than September. While this could just be a statistical anomaly decade, there are signs that point to more late season hurricanes becoming a trend to watch out for.
One of the main drivers for the increased number of late season hurricanes seen in the last few decades is that the sea surface temperatures are trending warmer in both the Gulf of Mexico and the Tropical Atlantic. This gives any tropical systems that develop more fuel to become stronger and stay stronger longer. Another potential factor that may add to the strength of late season hurricanes relates to how active the year has been up to that point.
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