EUR/USD bull trap could be in the making, eyes on US CPI

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EUR/USD bull trap could be in the making, eyes on US CPI
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EUR/USD bull trap could be in the making, eyes on US CPI – by fx_ross EURUSD CPI NFP Fed DollarIndex

low of 1.0159 and 1.0221 so far and is currently trying to hold onto 1.0200 but is pressured. The US dollar has given back some of the gains made after last week's blockbusterNevertheless, investors remained cautious as the payrolls data added to expectations of a hawkish US Federal Reserve. US rate futures have priced in a 67.5% chance of a 75-basis-point hike at the Fed's September meeting, up from about 41% before payrolls data on Friday beat market expectations.

''While the news on gas storage has been reassuring, a cold winter and the possibility that gas through Nord Stream 1 is totally shut off are among the risks that are faced by Europe in the months ahead.''''FX positioning data suggest that the market has already built up substantial short EUR positions.

The bulls have run away with it but given the bullish environment surrounding US yield and the greenback, the floodgates could open up below 1.0150.

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