A leading Russia expert predicts that the West’s relations with Moscow will remain vexed and could enter a new and more threatening period of uncertainty 🔎 Analysis by michael2day
More significantly,is forced to step down as president. Russia’s elites will try engineer an orderly transition of power to his successor.
Economic crises will probably cause political strains – perhaps among elites competing for power and money, or as rearmament sucks resources away from civilian sectors.Russia’s new leader will build his own power base, and will no doubt seek to distance himself from Putin, who will become a convenient scapegoat for Russia’s problems.
Of course, there’s no guarantee that the transfer of power to Putin’s successor would be smooth, or that a new leader would be able to consolidate his regime as effectively as he might like. As a result, Allan predicts that “Western governments would face formidable obstacles trying to understand the inner workings and decision-making processes of a state system that might be even more opaque and inaccessible by 2027 than it is today”.
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