Expert Warns of Commercial Real Estate 'Debt Spiral'

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Expert Warns of Commercial Real Estate 'Debt Spiral'
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Vacant office space in U.S. cities could create a 'debt spiral,' Dr. Tyler Goodspeed said on Newsmax's 'Carl Higbie FRONTLINE.' If more companies flee urban centers, those tax bases will come under pressure, Goodspeed said Wednesday.

Vacant office space in U.S. cities could create a “debt spiral,” Dr. Tyler Goodspeed said on Newsmax’s “Carl Higbie FRONTLINE.”

While residential real estate caused the Great Recession of 2008, “the next economic crisis will be empty real estate space,” Higbie said. “Corporate real estate is the engine of every major city, sometimes 50% of a major city’s tax base. It contributes $1 trillion a year to GDP.” “The national commercial real estate vacancy rate is 17.5%,” Higbie said. “Nearly 20 of the top 25 markets have reported vacancies in the past year. Writedowns in commercial loans could spell big trouble for the financial system just as the 2024 election gets underway.”As cities face budget constraints and cut back on major services, this could worsen urban exodus in every major U.S. city—creating a “doom loop,” Higbie said.

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