As a general rule, we can use average draft position as a pretty solid gauge of public sentiment regarding a player's projected fantasy value. But ADP obviously has its limitations. A simple average doesn't really tell us anything about the range of opinions that exist about a specific player — and with certain guys, the range of opinions is outrageously wide.
Tatis has been selected as high as No. 7 overall in NFBC drafts and as low as No. 55 , so the difference of opinion on him in fantasy circles is huge. Players don't get much more polarizing than this. Personally, I haven't landed Tatis in any league just yet, because there's always another drafter who views him as something very close to the uninjured, pre-PED version of himself. And hey, maybe that drafter is right.
Harris had some low-level prospect hype entering last season, then obliterated expectations when he reached the majors. He fully earned his Rookie of the Year hardware, slugging 19 homers, stealing 20 bags, batting .297 and playing elite defense in center. No question, he was awesome. A delight in fantasy; a joy to watch in reality.
He's also a screaming regression candidate with a few notable holes in his game. Harris isn't really a walker and he didn't hit lefties last season , plus he found a level of success in the majors that he hadn't reached at any minor league stop. His lofty batting average was boosted by a .361 BABIP, which may or may not stick.
And yet ... well, wow. Harris was all kinds of fun last year. The defense will keep him on the field through any cold stretches at the plate. And he's just 22, so power gains aren't unthinkable. His base-stealing ability is absolutely legit, so he's a lock to be a serious asset in at least one standard fantasy category. If he gets 600-plus plate appearances in the Braves' lineup, it's kinda hard to believe he won't give us a 15/30 season with plenty of run production.
I'll never land Harris in any draft, but that has very little to do with my expectations for him and everything to do with my enthusiasm for. I'm not gonna roll my eyes if you want Harris in the mid-third. A certain amount of regression is baked into his ADP.Robert was a catastrophic fantasy bust last season, like so many other essential players on the White Sox roster. It was a joyless team, underperforming and unentertaining from spring to fall.
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