Fed January Preview: Three possible scenarios for gold

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Fed January Preview: Three possible scenarios for gold
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FOMC is widely expected to leave its policy rate unchanged. A hawkish Fed policy outlook could cap gold's upside. XAUUSD could target $1,870 in case US T-bond yields turn south on a dovish Fed surprise. US FX Forex Preview

. Before testing $1,850, however, the pair seems to have lost its bullish momentum, with investors remaining on the sidelines ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s policy announcements on Wednesday, January 26.

Gold is likely to extend its rally on a dovish Fed outcome, which should cause US Treasury bond yields to turn south as well.It shouldn’t come as a surprise if the Fed were to communicate that a 25 basis points rate hike in March is imminent. The CME Group FedWatch Tool shows that markets are pricing only a 10% chance of the Fed leaving its policy rate unchanged in March.

On the flip side, $1,830 aligns as first technical support. With a daily close below that level on a hawkish Fed policy outlook, gold could slide toward $1,810 and $1,800 .

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