FiveThirtyEight probability model rates chances of Newcastle beating Brentford and finding success this season nufc
To put that into perspective, of the ten Premier League fixtures this weekend, this probability model gives only two other clubs a 50% or better chance of winning in this round of PL fixtures, with Man City rated an 86% chance to win at home to Southampton , plus West Ham a 55% chance to beat Fulham at home.
We can also see how the computer model rates the percentage probability chances of success for Newcastle United over the course of the season.As for relegation, that is now far less likely according to the forecasts, the computer model currently makes NUFC a 3% chance of going down.most likely to be relegated, with then Bournemouth a 48% shot, Southampton , Wolves , Fulham , Leicester , Leeds , Everton , Crystal Palace , West Ham , Brentford and Villa .
At the top they rate Man City a 71% chance of retaining the title, with Liverpool 10%, Arsenal 10%, Tottenham 3%, Chelsea 3%, Man Utd 1% and Brighton 1%.
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