College football odds, picks and prediction for Florida International Panthers vs New Mexico State Aggies. Week 6 betting free pick and game analysis.
Conference USA is giving us a midweek clash between Florida International and New Mexico State but it may be a quiet night offensively given the tempo of these two offenses. Read more in our NCAAF betting picks below.Conference USA is giving football fans plenty of midweek action during the 2023 college football season.
The Panthers have benefitted from a soft schedule thus far, notching one-score victories over Maine, North Texas, and UConn while narrowly losing the opener against Louisiana Tech and getting blown out by Liberty in their most recent game. One could argue that the soft schedule continues here with a winnable road conference game. are also in Year 2 of their current regime after Jerry Kill led the Aggies to a bowl game and a 7-6 record a year ago.
This game projects as one of the slowest-paced games of the year as both teams like to bog the game down offensively while operating at a molasses-like tempo. New Mexico State ranks dead last in plays per game at 53 while Florida International isn’t far ahead at 127th while snapping the ball just 59.8 times per contest.
I haven’t seen anything from New Mexico State to justify it being favored over a field goal against a conference opponent on a similar footing. Its two wins came against an FCS school and a bad New Mexico team in which it had 11 fewer first downs. That’s enough for me to look in FIU’s direction against the spread.
New Mexico State’s offense has been the best unit of these two teams to date, ranking 21st in EPA per play and 20th in success rate while ripping off 8.1 yards per play. The offensive line had been tremendous, plowing its way to ranking second nationally in line yards and 21st in stuff rate.
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