The Fox News Power Rankings reveals who the frontrunner and challengers are, along with who is currently is second place, ahead of the upcoming second 2024 GOP presidential debate.
Haley sits close behind, both in terms of her debate performance and her overall position on the Power Rankings. 27% of voters in the same poll say she exceeded expectations in Milwaukee, leaving candidates beneath her in the dust.She is making promising gains in national and statewide polls. In her home state, for example, she most recently sat at 18% . Remember, though, that South Carolina only awards delegates to the winner of their primary.
After a fiery performance in the first debate, Pence is still struggling to find his constituency. He may be leading the populism vs conservatism debate, but so far, voters are not listening. He stays in sixth.The challengers are also grouped into the wings of the party that they generally represent: DeSantis and Ramaswamy in the"populist" wing, and Haley, Scott and Pence in the"conservative" wing.Each wing offers a very different vision to voters.
This forecast therefore expects that if Trump continues to lead the race, the candidate in second place is most likely to come from the conservative wing.None of the conservative wing candidates have done enough to distinguish themselves from the pack yet, so they can’t be placed higher in the individual rankings. It is also possible, though unlikely, that all of the leading candidates from the conservative wing drop out of the race early.
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