GBP/USD drops to fresh one-month low, eyes 200-day SMA around mid-1.1900s – by hareshmenghani GBPUSD Fed Bonds BOE Currencies
Hawkish Fed expectations, a softer risk tone underpins the USD and exerts some pressure.The GBP/USD pair
attracts fresh sellers following an intraday uptick to the 1.2055 area and turns lower for the fourth successive day on Tuesday. Spot prices drop to a fresh one-month low heading into the North American session, with bears now eyeing to challenge a technically significant 200-day SMA near mid-1.1900s.
The US Dollar reverses an intraday dip and holds steady near a one-month peak touched on Monday, which, in turn, is seen exerting downward pressure on the GBP/USD pair. The upbeat US monthly jobs data released last week fueled speculations that the Federal Reserve will stick to its hawkish stance. This, in turn, remains supportive of a modest intraday uptick in the US Treasury bond yields and acts as a tailwind for the greenback.
Apart from this, the prevalent cautious market mood - amid looming recession risks - further benefits the greenback's relative safe-haven status against its British counterpart. Tuesday's intraday slide could also be attributed to some technical selling below the 1.2000 psychological mark. This, in turn, supports prospects for an extension of the depreciating move, though traders might wait for Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech for a fresh impetus.
Investors will closely scrutinize Powell's comments on inflation and monetary policy for clues about the Fed's future rate-hike path. This, in turn, will play a key role in influencing the near-term USD price dynamics and produce some meaningful trading opportunities around the GBP/USD pair in the absence of any relevant market-moving economic releases.
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