Jonathan Marchessault has been dominant for the Vegas Golden Knights. Despite the price on him to get a point gaining a bit of steam already, Covers_josh explains why it's still a smart value play.
Marchessault has seen a lot of steam on his Over 0.5 points, which is warranted as I have him recording a point as to a 66% probability. He has also contributed to 43% of the team's goals over the last 11 games.
As always, bettors should be looking at the true odds of all their SGPs as holds and multipliers can zap plenty of the value. This SGP has true odds of +398, which considering there is a small correlation to the Under saves and a blocked shot play, is solid.
After the Golden Knights closed at +105 on Thursday, Game 4’s moneyline hit Vegas -105 quickly after opening. The total also fell from 6 to 5.5, which is the correct move.
The Florida power play looks out of sync, especially in Game 3 where it went 0-for-5 with just four shots on goal.
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