The options for Beijing may take include military grandstanding, missile tests, economic sanctions and even seizing a nearby island.
China’s President Xi Jinping told US leader Joe Biden during a phone call last week that “whoever plays with fire will get burnt” in reference to Taiwan, which China regards as its territory. Foreign Ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian then said the People’s Liberation Army “won’t sit idly by” if Pelosi visited. She is the highest-ranking American official to visit Taiwan in 25 years.
China will have to respond militarily “in a way that’s a clear escalation from previous shows of force,” said Amanda Hsiao, a senior analyst at Crisis Group based in Taiwan.newspaper has suggested China should conduct a military flight directly over Taiwan, forcing President Tsai Ing-wen’s government to decide whether to shoot it down. Last year, Taiwanese Defence Minister Chiu Kuo-cheng warned: “The closer they get to the island, the stronger we will hit back.
Beijing has already hit various Taiwanese leaders with sanctions, including bans on travelling to the mainland. More officials could face similar actions, but they’d have little impact as Taiwanese politicians are unlikely to travel to the mainland or do business there. Last year, China recalled its ambassador to Lithuania after the Baltic nation allowed Taiwan to open an office in its capital under its own name, rather than Chinese Taipei – a term Beijing considers more neutral.On Tuesday, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying said at a news briefing that Beijing would be in touch with its US ambassador “when appropriate.
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