Housing demand to collapse as population growth falters

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Housing demand to collapse as population growth falters
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Housing demand to collapse as population growth falters | swrighteconomy swrighteconomy

The biggest collapse in Australia's population growth since World War I will drive a huge fall in new home construction that could hold back the nation's recovery from the coronavirus recession.

About 60 per cent of the nation's population growth over the past decade has been driven by net overseas migration, which totals 2.7 million residents. But the closure of the border, as well as concern globally among people moving between nations, is expected to lead to that collapse.The number of international students, who account for about half of net overseas migration, has also collapsed in a development that has forced some major universities to cut staff.

If population growth holds up a little better, the market would bottom at 110,000 in 2022. Even that would be the worst annual performance since the 1980s.The drop-off in construction would then amplify the economic pain being felt by the country. The corporation says the drop in population growth will also hit rental markets, particularly those dependent on international students.

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