My prediction is 52-48, Republican control, writes TianatheFirst. Again, it's not impossible, however, that Republicans could pick up both Georgia and New Hampshire, putting the GOP in easy distance from securing a filibuster-proof majority come 2024.
First, the party in power always suffers in the midterm elections. Second, it's the economy, stupid. And third, however awful Republican politicians are, Democrats are, as usual, somehow worse.
The economy, by many metrics, is the worst in generations, with inflation at a 40-year high, the debt-to-GDP ratio the highest since World War II, and real wages and productivity plummeting. The low nominal unemployment rate conceals a disturbing exodus of prime-age adults from the workplace, whether it be mothers unable to secure child care, men succumbing to addictions and disabilities, or the elderly retiring early, exacerbating Social Security’s impending insolvency.
The map makes the case for a Republican victory obvious. The GOP only needs a single net Senate pickup to win back control from Kamala Harris, as the vice president currently serves as the swing vote. Luckily, Democrats threw Pennsylvania by nominating a stroke-ridden white man who once aimed a shotgun at an unarmed black man. Ohio remains a red state. Realistically, between Nevada, Arizona, and Georgia, Republicans need to win just one.
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