How the impeachment battle changes everything for 2020 | Analysis by cillizzacnn
5. Who's out next?: With the qualifying deadline for the CNN-sponsored debate October 15 in Ohio coming up on Tuesday, this week may be another moment in which candidates who don't make the stage take a hard look at themselves in the mirror. Barring some sort of last-minute polling, there will be 12 candidates onstage in Ohio: former Vice President Joe Biden, New Jersey Sen.
The question for Biden -- and his entire candidacy hinges on this -- is whether black voters in South Carolina will stick with him if he falters in one of the states that precede South Carolina's February 29, 2020 primary. If they stick by him, Biden has a very good chance of being the nominee since, as recent nomination fights make clear , the candidate with the bulk of the black vote behind him or her typically wins in the end.
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