“To beat the market over time, we should focus on what the news media is not writing about,” columnist MktwHulbert writes.
One of the most effective investment strategies for dealing with the news media’s drumbeat of crisis-obsessed reporting is to ignore it.
To refer to just one recent example: On March 8, crude oil jumped to an all-time high of nearly $124 a barrel, nearly double where it stood in early December. On March 9, the very next day, its price plunged by nearly $15—one of the biggest daily price drops in crude oil’s history.
For those of you who remember your Physics 101 class, you can think of this finding as the investment equivalent of the Observer Effect. According to it, the very act of measuring something alters it. In the financial arena, the very act of paying attention to an investment affects its valuation.This new research reinforces a conclusion of a Federal Reserve working paper in 2017: “The Display of Information and Household Investment Behavior.
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