Tracking and predicting storms has drastically improved in the last 100 years.
, was a storm that peaked to a Category 5 on Sept. 13, 1928, before cutting through the Bahamas, Miami, Central Florida and Jacksonville where it was a Category 1. Unnamed 1928 then headed north along the eastern coast and toward Toronto, Canada. More than 2,000 people died in the storm,Today, a hurricane watch can be activated within 48 hours of making landfall and can be identified by satellite and skilled meteorologists well in advance.
“There are some aspects of experience in past events. So, we actually have a tool to look at past hurricanes and compare what the current one is, like the same pressure, how big it is and get analog cases and see how the rainfall pattern looked in those past cases and use that to help us forecast as well,” Lamers said.
“We find that a lot of the most impactful storms in terms of rainfall and flooding are often moving in the slowest, 10 to 20 percent of storms to a given area,” said Lamers.
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