Democrats hope abortion proves to be an X-factor in their races, while Republicans largely have avoided the issue, preferring to talk instead about inflation.
COLUMBUS, Ohio – There’s bipartisan agreement that the U.S. Supreme Court’s June decision striking down nationwide abortion protects has given Democrats a boost in what was supposed to be a banner year for the GOP.
“Pollsters can only predict past performance,” Whaley, who’s widely considered an underdog in her race, said in an interview. “They look at the past to look at the future. And frankly, this is a moment where we haven’t had a right be taken away so dramatically in our country.” Tellingly, DeWine and Vance largely have tried to avoid talking about the issue, preferring instead to focus on inflation.
Vance hasn’t backed off the topic per se, maintaining his position as “100% pro-life.” But he’s avoided highlighting it as a key issue, instead emphasizing inflation and public safety, Republicans’ two main focuses for the upcoming election. And in a July interview with NBC News, Vance said he doesn’t think Congress should pass a national abortion ban “for now.”
Katie Paris, who leads Red, Wine and Blue, a Democratic advocacy group in Ohio focused on suburban women, said in a recent interview she thinks the decision makes the state’s top races instantly more competitive. Ryan, the Democratic Senate candidate, has framed the U.S. Supreme Court decision as government overreach into people’s private lives, and suggested government should have no role in restricting abortion at all, although he’s placed somewhat less of an emphasis on the issue than Whaley has.
Polls have had a bad recent track record in Ohio, generally undercounting Republican support in November elections. Beyond the Ohio-specific challenges polls have had, it also can be especially difficult to poll on abortion, since voters’ views are often nuanced and aren’t adequately captured by the questions pollsters ask., several recent polls have suggested a majority of state voters support some form of abortion rights, while also showing DeWine holding a sizable lead over Whaley.
Democrats have been heartened by voter-registration data, which show a disproportionately high number of women registering to vote since the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision in late June, according to TargetSmart, a Democratic data firm.
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