The risk for the president is that he has not anticipated just how much his own foreign policy might undermine his message and the strength of his personal appeal.
When big questions about American foreign policy collide with an election, it’s rarely good news for a sitting president.
It is notoriously difficult to predict voter intention, especially this far out from election day. But a look at the history of the impact of international problems on voter intention in elections can help us understand how Americans think about their role in the world, and the influence that might have on their choice of leader this time around. 1968 redux? This year, the Democratic National Convention returns to Chicago, Illinois.
The Democratic nominee, incumbent Vice President Hubert Humphrey, went on to lose the election to Richard Nixon. Iran Iran, too, has played an outsized role in past American elections. Given the events of the past week, it may well do so again. His Republican challenger, Ronald Reagan, successfully exploited Carter’s weaknesses, promising to “make America great again”.
Carter’s legacy, and particularly perceptions of his weakness, are now being significantly revised. But as events were playing out, perceptions of Carter’s ineptitude, his central role in a developing sense of American “malaise” and Reagan’s ability to cultivate a contrasting image of strength and vitality lost Carter the election. Just as in 1968, that loss dramatically reshaped the United States’ role in the world and the course of global history.
2024 US Presidential Election Democratic Party Gaza War Israel Jimmy Carter Joe Biden Ronald Reagan
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