Hurricane Forecast Worsens Amid High Ocean Temperatures

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Hurricane Forecast Worsens Amid High Ocean Temperatures
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Experts and communities along the Atlantic and Gulf coasts have been unnerved by extremely warm waters, with temperatures posing a range of threats, including the ability to supercharge storms. Hurricane forecast worsens amid high ocean temperatures:

A home left wrecked by Hurricane Ida in Galliano, La., on Sept. 1, 2021.

An El Nino pattern, like one expected to ramp up this season, typically impedes the formation of Atlantic hurricanes. Yet experts and communities along the Atlantic and Gulf coasts have been unnerved by extremely warm waters this summer, with heightened sea surface temperatures posing a range of threats, including the ability to supercharge storms.It is a confluence of factors that forecasters have rarely encountered.

Last month, Colorado State University, which was the first research institution to compile a seasonal hurricane forecast, increased the expected number of named storms to 18 from 15, and the researcher overseeing the forecast acknowledged the possibility of updating it again, which has never been done this late in the season.

But for months, ocean temperatures have remained extraordinarily warm. They have climbed to nearly 100 degrees Fahrenheit in some spots, destroying coral reefs, disrupting marine ecosystems and transforming Florida’s beach waters into something akin to a hot tub.

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