The Atlantic hurricane season was off to a quiet start before Ian and Fiona. What do forecasts show for October?
The devastation in Florida, the Carolinas and Puerto Rico from major hurricanes Ian and Fiona is more than enough to label the 2022 hurricane season a"bad" one, Buchanan said.There are no guarantees that this summer's quiet hurricane season will return or that the season will continue to be active.
But 1961 had an extremely busy September, and that ended up a hyperactive season. Whereas 1997 was a strong El Niño year and was a below-average season. In order for tropical storms to form, he explained, they have to build upwards to grow in strength, like a tower of bricks. When there's less wind shear to knock over the tower, a tropical storm or hurricane is able to grow stronger and stronger, which is exactly what happened with Ian, Smerbeck said.
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Hurricane Ian: Manatees at Spring Park fighting Hurricane Ian storm surge* LOCATIONS AFFECTED\n- Bonaire\n- Centerville\n- Clinchfield\n- Elberta\n- Elko\n- Grovania\n- Grove Park\n\n* WIND\n- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind\n- Peak Wind Forecast: 15-25 mph with gusts to 45 mph\n\n- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST\nUNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39\nto 57 mph\n- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the\nprevious assessment.\n- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm\nforce.\n- PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect property should be\ncompleted as soon as possible. Prepare for limited wind\ndamage.\n- ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.\n\n- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited\n- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored\nmobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.\n- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or\nuprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees\nare shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown\nover.\n- A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within\nurban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving\nconditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.\n- Scattered power and communications outages.\n\n* STORM SURGE\n- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible\n- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 4-6 feet\nabove ground somewhere within surge prone areas\n- Window of concern: through Friday evening\n\n- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST\nUNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm\nsurge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground\n- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the\nprevious assessment.\n- PLAN: Shelter against life-threatening storm surge of\ngreater than 3 feet above ground.\n- PREPARE: Flood preparations and ordered evacuations should\nbe complete. Evacuees should be in shelters well away from\nstorm surge flooding.\n- ACT: Remain shel
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