The desire to see the back of the Tories seems to outweigh any considerations of policy – or whether Labour will actually deliver much positive change
Theresa May announcing the general election in April 2017. Early polling suggested a comfortable victory for the Conservatives, but the result was a hung parliament.Theresa May announcing the general election in April 2017. Early polling suggested a comfortable victory for the Conservatives, but the result was a hung parliament.“Nothing has changed”: those were the ill-fated words during Theresa May’s 2017 campaign.
This may prove a setback for Labour later in the campaign. If it looks as if Labour is set to win comfortably, people may feel less pressure to vote tactically, and turnout may fall. Polling has looked at what people expect to get better or worse under a Labour government. It might be best summarised as “things can only get better, but perhaps not much”. The area where expectations are highest is the NHS.
A notable exception is on immigration, where voters do tend to think there would be more small boat crossings and higher immigration under a Labour government. But for most voters, and critically, those switching from the Conservatives to Labour, immigration is not a key priority.
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