The more the US depends on Australia, the more likely it will defend it, runs the logic. But if Trump returns to the White House, a rethink will be required.
Add articles to your saved list and come back to them any time.We very rarely talk about it, but Australia has lived under the protection of the US “nuclear umbrella” since the 1960s. The umbrella, however, has developed big holes. Behind the scenes, Australian and US officials quietly have started talking about the problem, and should again next week when Minister for Foreign Affairs Penny Wong and Defence Minister Richard Marles meet their US counterparts for the annual Ausmin consultations.
It was pretty cosy. And we didn’t like to talk about it. “Australia is unique among US allies in that it has largely preferred not to discuss US extended nuclear deterrence commitments publicly,” observes Kelsey Hartigan of the Centre for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.Others have been more sceptical. The original doubter was French president Charles de Gaulle. He challenged John F.
This observation has a commonsense quality. No US city is preparing for possible nuclear attack. So the US is not contemplating taking the risk involved in defending its allies. Schadlow served as deputy national security adviser for strategy during the first year of the Trump White House.Could it be there is no real risk of nuclear strike on any US ally? It’s actually a time of greater risk than at any since the end of the Cold War. Vladimir Putin repeatedly threatens nuclear attack against the US and its NATO allies in Europe.
“I don’t think there’s any way that the American president would actually risk losing, like five American cities, because of something that North Korea did, because the stakes are too low for Americans,” says Colby. But, of course, the more valuable Australia is to the US military, the more tempting a target it presents to Beijing. We already know that Beijing’s underlying policy towards Australia is “hostile”, a word that both Malcolm Turnbull and Kevin Rudd have used to categorise it.
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