Over the last five games Michigan has a +117 second-half point differential. ChrisGregoryyy is expecting more of the same as the Wolverines take on a slumping Illinois team. Full odds, picks and predictions below. ⬇️
Beyond Michigan's insane defensive resume that includes nation-best marks in scoring defense , yards per game , and yards per play , Michigan has allowed a grand total ofgames... that's four scoreless halves and just three points allowed to No. 10 Penn State.
That smothering defense allows Michigan to dominate possession , control the game with one of the best offensive lines in the nation, and pound the ball with the best running back in college football in Blake Corum. The results? A second-half point differential of +117 over those five contests and more importantly: a 5-0 record against second-half spreads.squad.
The Fighting Illini rank fourth in scoring defense at just 13.9 points allowed per game but have mostly held down poor offenses and allowed 31 points to Purdue just last week. Michigan's offense— will prove a tougher test and should have no problem inflicting standard damage at home. Illinois is certainly a step up in competition relative to the Big Ten bottom-feeders Michigan has been feasting on of late, but there's still a sizable gap between Ohio State, Michigan, and the rest of the conference, and I'm not sure the 18-point spread at home is doing that gap justice.
However, I'm backing the Wolverines against the single-digit second-half spread for my best bet. Once Michigan gets control of this game, the lead will only continue to grow.
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