The Dunkley by-election provides insights into the next federal election and highlights the challenges faced by the Liberal Party in Victoria.
It would be easy to dismiss the Dunkley by-election as a non-event that changes very little in the federal political landscape. Labor retained a seat it held prior to incumbent Peta Murphy's death and the swing against the government was on par with decades of history in by-elections. But while the electoral map might not have changed, the vote in the outer suburban, coastal electorate offers insights into how the next federal election might play out.
Much has been made about the state of the Liberal Party in Victoria. Be it the drubbings it's faced at recent state elections or that the party lost four seats at the last federal election, there's no secret about the issues Victorian Liberals are facing. While the National Party held all of its seats in 2022, the Liberals lost two to independents (Goldstein and Kooyong) and two to Labor (Higgins and Chisholm).Labor last year pulled off a one-in-100 years feat, winning the outer suburban seat of Aston from the oppositio
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